{"id":3061,"date":"2022-10-31T16:08:25","date_gmt":"2022-10-31T20:08:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/beta.1db.com\/?p=3061"},"modified":"2022-10-31T16:08:27","modified_gmt":"2022-10-31T20:08:27","slug":"baby-bull-gestation-period-is-283-days","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/beta.1db.com\/?p=3061","title":{"rendered":"Baby Bull Gestation Period is 283 Days"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><strong>Welcome to the world, Bucky!<\/strong><strong><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>On October 13th, the S&amp;P 500 fell to an intraday low of 3,491.58 from its peak of 4,796.56 on January 3rd; the market was down 27.2%.&nbsp;The news that Thursday morning was a gut punch for our economy. Core inflation confounded analysts and soared to its highest level in forty years!&nbsp;Traders instantly hit the sell button and dumped stocks at the opening bell indiscriminately.&nbsp;Every headline painted a dire picture, and it seemed as if the bottom was about to fall out of the market.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>But then something strange happened \u2192<\/strong><strong><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Buyers began to step in to quelch the carnage and then ate it up!&nbsp;From the previous day&#8217;s close, the market moved a total range of over 7%; by 4:00 PM, it was up 2.6% for the day.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>What caused this sudden change in market sentiment?&nbsp;It&#8217;s hard to say for sure, but one thing is certain: the market had found its footing and was no longer in freefall.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This event marks the beginning of what could be the end of the baby bull calf&#8217;s gestation period and the birth of something beautiful.&nbsp;According to the Institute of Agriculture and Natural Resources new bull calf&#8217;s birth cycle lasts between 279 to 287 days, or 283 days to be precise.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Drum roll here \u2192<\/strong><strong><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>On October 13th, the period of the downturn that started on January 3rd was exactly 283 days!&nbsp;So, if fate continues to play its hand and our newborn calf can learn to stand and walk and charge on its own two feet, then we may have a new bull market born.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"826\" height=\"605\" data-src=\"https:\/\/beta.1db.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/bull.png\" alt=\"Bull\" class=\"wp-image-3067 lazyload\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/beta.1db.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/bull.png 826w, https:\/\/beta.1db.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/bull-300x220.png 300w, https:\/\/beta.1db.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/bull-768x563.png 768w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 826px) 100vw, 826px\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 826px; --smush-placeholder-aspect-ratio: 826\/605;\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>A bull market is defined as a 20% rise from the bear market closing low point.&nbsp;This baby bull is only 7% old, so the little fella has a ways to go.&nbsp;While there have been several false starts over the past few months, this 283-day-in-the-making baby bull is starting to look like it could snort.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>So how can you tell if a new bull market is really here?<\/strong><strong><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This sudden turnabout in the market left many investors scratching their heads in confusion.&nbsp;What could possibly explain such a rapid shift from panic selling to earnest buying?&nbsp;Fear. Fear of the following and fear of FOMO.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Fear of calamity Fear of inflation<\/strong><strong><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Fear of volatility Fear of recession<\/strong><strong><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Fear of democrats Fear of republicans<\/strong><strong><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Fear of national debt Fear of deglobalization<\/strong><strong><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Fear of earnings collapse Fear of nuclear holocaust<\/strong><strong><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Fear of market malfunction<\/strong><strong><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Fear of the wrong decision<\/strong><strong><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Fear of losing more money Fear of retirement shortfall<\/strong><strong><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Fear of international conflict<\/strong><strong><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Fear of currency devaluation<\/strong><strong><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Bull Markets are born on pessimism.&nbsp;Pessimism is high and widespread but apparently not unanimously so.&nbsp;Fear remains steadfast in the driver&#8217;s seat, and it takes a lot to convince people that things will get better.&nbsp;The market has been tanking all year, and it will take more than a few good days to convince people that we&#8217;re in a new bull market.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>An important thing to remember is that the market is a discounting mechanism, and it is constantly trying to price in future events.&nbsp;So, if the market is starting to believe that things will improve, it may be right.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Of course, this is not a sure thing, and the market could just as easily turn around and head back down.&nbsp;But, if you are looking for a reason to be optimistic, then this is it.&nbsp;The market is finding its footing and is no longer in freefall.&nbsp;The baby bull calf is alive and well and starting to make its way into the world.&nbsp;All we can do now is watch and wait to see if it can make it on its own.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>What do you think? Is this the beginning of a new bull market, or is the market just taking a breather before heading back down?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>P.S. The baby bull&#8217;s name is Bucky.<\/strong><strong><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Disclosure: any views, thoughts, and opinions expressed within this communication contains subjective opinions, and do not reflect the official policy or position of 1st Discount Brokerage, Inc.&nbsp; <\/strong><strong><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Information is for educational purposes only and does not intend to make an offer or solicitation for the sale or purchase of any specific securities, investments, or investment strategies.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Any examples, outcomes, or assumptions expressed within this communication are only hypothetical illustrations and should not be utilized in real-world analytic products as they are based only on very limited and dated open source information.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Investments involve risk and are not guaranteed. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Securities offered through 1<sup>st<\/sup> Discount Brokerage, Inc., Member FINRA\/SIPC.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>A Registered Investment Adviser.<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Welcome to the world, Bucky! On October 13th, the S&amp;P 500 fell to an intraday low of 3,491.58 from its peak of 4,796.56 on January 3rd; the market was down 27.2%.&nbsp;The news that Thursday morning was a gut punch for our economy. Core inflation confounded analysts and soared to its highest level in forty years!&nbsp;Traders&#8230;<br \/><a class=\"button read-more\" href=\"https:\/\/beta.1db.com\/?p=3061\">Continue<span class=\"hide\"> Baby Bull Gestation Period is 283 Days<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":3068,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-3061","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-blog"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Baby Bull Gestation Period is 283 Days - Financial Advisors<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/beta.1db.com\/?p=3061\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Baby Bull Gestation Period is 283 Days - Financial Advisors\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Welcome to the world, Bucky! 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